My Completely Unprofessional Oscar Predictions

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Dear Internets,

It's that time of year again. You've had enough egg nog to last you until next year, the thought of turkey still makes you sleepy and you've already given up on at least two of your New Year's resolutions. If you think you haven't, look a little more closely. Aren't I such an "upper?"

Anyway, late January means two things in my world:
1) The Superbowl (11 minutes of actual game play and four hours of glorious advertising)
2) The Oscar nominees.
3) If there were to be a three, it would probably involve some type of crying, akin to caterwauling. Without all the rutting.

The Superbowl will be another post entirely (haha, don't you love when I say that? It's basically a guarantee that I'll never write about it), so today we are here for my take on the ol' Oscar Prediction bandwagon. Please keep in mind that other than the fact that I occasionally go to the movies and have never been wrong about anything ever, I am completely unqualified to be held accountable for any large bets you place based off my predictions.

And the winners are (bold and italicized):

Best Picture
“Avatar”
“The Blind Side”
“District 9"
“An Education”
“The Hurt Locker”
“Inglourious Basterds”
“Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push’ by Sapphire”
“A Serious Man”
“Up”
“Up in the Air”

Let's be honest. James Cameron fucked with your mind in this movie. It was all three dimensional and had some gay song that people liked. And it made a fucking billion dollars. Almost two. Even Bill Gates paused his Zune long enough to think "Was that the wind blowing?" Plus all these other ones, with the exception of "Up in the Air" aren't necessarily indie enough to fit the trend of the last decade's Best Picture nods going to pretentious indie "woe is me" movies.

At this point I'd like to go ahead and remind you I only loosely know what I'm talking about. So if you feel the need to interject an opinion other than "Oh my God, you're so handsome!" then please go smash your head through a panel of drywall and pour lemon juice in your eyes.

Best Direction
“Avatar” — James Cameron
“The Hurt Locker” — Kathryn Bigelow
“Inglourious Basterds” — Quentin Tarantino
“Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push’ by Sapphire” — Lee Daniels
“Up in the Air” — Jason Reitman

Even though Quentin Tarantino has already popped an entire bottle of Viagra to draw attention away from that honking chin of his on the red carpet, Inglorious Basterds wasn't good enough to reward him with a tiny naked gold man. A blue man maybe, but that was Vegas and we're not supposed to talk about that. "The Hurt Locker" is just too lame of a title to really be taken seriously, "Up in the Air" had some great performances from the leads but I don't think you can safely attribute that to a visionary director. And "Precious?" What the shit-fuck? I had to make up a new profanity just to describe my disdain, disbelief and overall dissyness of a movie that is called "Precious." "Precious" is when someone else's kid shits their pants at the mall. "Precious" is when your cat gets into the peanut butter and leaves little peanut butter paw prints all around your house and you go to Home Depot to hire some temp labor to clean it up. If a movie called "Precious" wins any awards, I'm emigrating to Canada. In case that wasn't enough evidence, let me remind you that Avatar made two fucking billion dollars. James Cameron did nothing but think about blue people for ten years (he really would've loved that Vegas trip I took with Tarantino). He designed a new type of film and camera equipment for Christ's sake. If some fuck-brain wins for directing a movie called "Precious," which I can only imagine is about little ceramic dolls that come to life and have silent tea parties while Judy Dench weeps softly in the background, then James Cameron should be awarded full Presidential pardon for murdering America.

Actor in a Leading Role
Jeff Bridges in “Crazy Heart”

George Clooney in “Up in the Air”

Colin Firth in “A Single Man”

Morgan Freeman in “Invictus”

Jeremy Renner in “The Hurt Locker”


Clooney deserves it. Let's be honest. The guy has developed such a panache for these type of films. Each grey hair he gains makes him that much more believable as a lost soul seeking redemption for his past (drawing on his experience as Batman for inspiration, perhaps?). But Morgan Freeman is Morgan Freeman. Nelson Mandela straight up asked Morgan Freeman, "Will you be me if they make a movie about me?" And Morgan Freeman was like "Dude. Fuckin' A." Morgan Freeman's voice makes unborn kittens purr, unwed mothers proud and Olympic Athletes...well he doesn't really impact them. Plus apparently Nelson Mandela was some famous political figure in some city in Antarctica or something and that will automatically get people's award-glands pumping. Everyone else probably sucks. Well that's not true. I really like Jeff Bridges. But whatever nobody else cares about him.

Actress in a Leading Role
Sandra Bullock in “The Blind Side”
Helen Mirren in “The Last Station”
Carey Mulligan in “An Education”
Gabourey Sidibe in “Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push’ by Sapphire”
Meryl Streep in “Julie & Julia”

I don't know how to say this. Because I've seen Sandra Bullock in person and she did NOT look this good. This was five years ago. But homegirl stomped the fucking yard in The Blind Side. I would clean my act up if it meant snugglin' up next to that piece of a...oh, hello. I didn't realize you were still here. I have a soft spot for the movie because the crew and some of the cast stayed at my hotel during production so I'd like to see them do well. But did I mention Sandra Bullock's derriere? Someone get me some cornbread! I'm not sure that's related.

Actor in a Supporting Role
Matt Damon in “Invictus”
Woody Harrelson in “The Messenger”
Christopher Plummer in “The Last Station”
Stanley Tucci in “The Lovely Bones”
Christoph Waltz in “Inglourious Basterds”

Didn't see any of these. But I heard that Stanley Tucci was like crazy or something. Plus I'm SO tired of Matt Damon's stupid face and stupid hair. Have you ever noticed how stupid his face is? It's SO stupid.

Actress in a Supporting Role
Penélope Cruz in “Nine”
Vera Farmiga in “Up in the Air”
Maggie Gyllenhaal in “Crazy Heart”
Anna Kendrick in “Up in the Air”
Mo’Nique in “Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push’ by Sapphire”

Just the facts, ma'am. Let's go over them. "Precious?" Ha. Fuck. Off. "Mo'Nique?" There wasn't enough of their first choice for the role, a poor working girl named "Nique." Anna Kendrick was aight, but she's not there yet. Maggie Gyllenhaal can go live in stupid face land with Matt Damon and Alyson Hannigan. Vera Farmiga just moved in with me and I just introduced her to "Oscar" so she's already a winner. That leaves old Penalohpee. Nine, from what I saw of it (Yay screeners! Yay A.D.D.!) was just the kind of shit the Academy eats up and Lady Cruz is easy on the eyes, ears, nose and throat. Ummm...moving on.

Writing (Adapted Screenplay)
“District 9” — Written by Neill Blomkamp and Terri Tatchell
“An Education” — Screenplay by Nick Hornby
“In the Loop” — Screenplay by Jesse Armstrong, Simon Blackwell, Armando Iannucci, Tony Roche
“Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push’ by Sapphire” — Screenplay by Geoffrey Fletcher
“Up in the Air” — Screenplay by Jason Reitman and Sheldon Turner

Baaahahahahhahahaah! You didn't actually think I'd give "Precious" an award, did you? "Up In the Air." The rest of them were written by my six year old that I just found out about.

Writing (Original Screenplay)

“The Hurt Locker” — Written by Mark Boal
“Inglourious Basterds” — Written by Quentin Tarantino
“The Messenger” — Written by Alessandro Camon & Oren Moverman
“A Serious Man” — Written by Joel Coen & Ethan Coen
“Up” — Screenplay by Bob Peterson, Pete Docter, Story by Pete Docter, Bob Peterson, Tom McCarthy

I am in no way, shape or form ashamed to tell you that I think "Up," more than any other of their movies to date, is Pixar's masterpiece. They literally could've ended the movie just after the exposition and I would've been just as endeared to it. For an animated film to create characters that demand such sincere emotional attachment is an achievement that I do not take lightly. There are no jokes, here folks. I think "Up" is one of the top five screenplays of the decade. There was not a dry eye in the house at the end of that movie. I need to watch it again. Now.

Animated Feature Film
“Coraline”
“Fantastic Mr. Fox”
“The Princess and the Frog”
“The Secret of Kells”
“Up”

Coraline was the dumbest movie ever. I wish this Tim Burton-style of not-quite-stop-motion animation would just disappear. The "Fantastic Mr. Fox" was so fantastic that nobody ever heard of it, even the cast and crew. While it was refreshing to see that Disney still has real animators on retainer, that story was a little too "Hey kids, isn't it great to be culturally diverse!" for me to be able to appreciate the story. I'm all about diversity. Hell, I went to Diversity University where I majored in Diversification of Non-Diverse Cultural Subgroups and the Correlating Diversities (or DNDCSCD as we lovingly call it). "The Secret of Kells" is still a secret to me. And surprise surprise, "Up" wins. If you haven't seen it, pause your reading of this and go see it.

Art Direction:

"Avatar"Art Direction: Rick Carter and Robert Stromberg; Set Decoration: Kim Sinclair
“The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus” — Art Direction: Dave Warren and Anastasia Masaro; Set Decoration: Caroline Smith
“Nine” — Art Direction: John Myhre; Set Decoration: Gordon Sim
“Sherlock Holmes” — Art Direction: Sarah Greenwood; Set Decoration: Katie Spencer
“The Young Victoria” — Art Direction: Patrice Vermette; Set Decoration: Maggie Gray


This was a tough one. Oh wait, no it wasn't. Because Avatar made two billion dollars. What did YOU do in 2009?

Cinematography
“Avatar” — Mauro Fiore
“Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince” — Bruno Delbonnel
“The Hurt Locker” — Barry Ackroyd
“Inglourious Basterds” — Robert Richardson
“The White Ribbon” — Christian Berger

*Yawn* Duh. Plus, Quentin, it wasn't your finest. In fact, Quentin, most of your finest isn't even your finest. You and your pointy chin...

Costume Design
“Bright Star” — Janet Patterson
“Coco before Chanel” — Catherine Leterrier
“The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus” — Monique Prudhomme
“Nine” — Colleen Atwood
“The Young Victoria” — Sandy Powell

Because some schmuck in the Academy will get everyone in an uproar by saying "But hey, what about Heath Ledger? He's dead! Isn't that sad?!" And then everyone will wave their ceremonial toilet paper about and powder their wigs. I think I may have the Academy of Motion Picture Sciences confused with British Parliament now that I think about it.

Documentary (Feature)
“Burma VJ”
“The Cove”
“Food, Inc.”
“The Most Dangerous Man in America: Daniel Ellsberg and the Pentagon Papers”
“Which Way Home”

Food, Inc. Because after "An Inconvenient Truth," documentaries don't matter anymore.

Documentary (Short Subject)
“China’s Unnatural Disaster: The Tears of Sichuan Province”
“The Last Campaign of Governor Booth Gardner”
“The Last Truck: Closing of a GM Plant”
“Music by Prudence”
“Rabbit à la Berlin”

I'm going with the rabbit one here. Primarily because rabbits have lots of sex and who doesn't love sex? The China one sounds awfully Chinese. We get it, you're half the planet. STOP having sex. I hope the rabbit movie wasn't released in China. The Last Campaign one sounds about as exciting as clipping a dead person's fingernails, "The Last Truck" would represent the toenails of said dead person and "Music by Prudence" sounds like the smash-hit follow-up to my favorite movie of 2009, "Precious!" Yay for sex.

Film Editing
“Avatar” — Stephen Rivkin, John Refoua and James Cameron
“District 9” — Julian Clarke
“The Hurt Locker” — Bob Murawski and Chris Innis
“Inglourious Basterds” — Sally Menke
“Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push’ by Sapphire” — Joe Klotz

I'm going with "The Hurt Locker" on this one because honestly it was pretty compellingly put together. The cinematography didn't do much for me, but I could see how integral a role the editing played. And "Avatar?" Clearly nobody was editing that three hour beast. Though one could argue that someone was definitely editing it because I get the feeling if James Cameron had his way we'd eventually see his Avatar show up on Pandora and just start playing badminton and eating clementines.

Foreign Language Film
“Ajami” — Israel
“El Secreto de Sus Ojos” — Argentina
“The Milk of Sorrow” — Peru
“Un Prophète” — France
“The White Ribbon” — Germany

Blah blah blah. If I want to hear your language I'll go to the DMV. If I want to read I'll get a book. There is just nothing here that could interest me. Interestingly, I have enjoyed most foreign films I've seen but you usually have to threaten me at gunpoint to get me to actually watch it. And even then I'll probably be imagining needlepoint patterns.

Nobody wins.

Makeup
“Il Divo” — Aldo Signoretti and Vittorio Sodano
“Star Trek” — Barney Burman, Mindy Hall and Joel Harlow
“The Young Victoria” — Jon Henry Gordon and Jenny Shircore

Really? Nobody wins here. Think back on last year's movies. Think back long and hard. Think back about two billion dollars worth. Actually, you know what? The Academy will win the Academy Award for this category for "Making Up" the nominees.

Music (Original Score)
“Avatar” — James Horner
“Fantastic Mr. Fox” — Alexandre Desplat
“The Hurt Locker” — Marco Beltrami and Buck Sanders
“Sherlock Holmes” — Hans Zimmer
“Up” — Michael Giacchino

I love Hans Zimmer. I'm hard-pressed to find a score he's written that I don't enjoy. And I have to give it to him, the score for Sherlock Holmes was downright intriguing, Robert Downey Jr.'s musical doppelganger, if you will. But the score for "Up" was absolutely breathtaking. I subscribe to the philosophy that a film's music score should enhance what you're watching, never supplement it. You should only be aware on the tiniest level that the heightened emotional response you're feeling is from the score. Giacchino finds his theme and works masterfully around it throughout the movie. Music like breathing - existence is null without it.

Music (Original Song)
“Almost There” from “The Princess and the Frog” Music and Lyric by Randy Newman
“Down in New Orleans” from “The Princess and the Frog” Music and Lyric by Randy Newman
“Loin de Paname” from “Paris 36” Music by Reinhardt Wagner Lyric by Frank Thomas
“Take It All” from “Nine” Music and Lyric by Maury Yeston
“The Weary Kind (Theme from Crazy Heart)” from “Crazy Heart” Music and Lyric by Ryan Bingham and T Bone Burnett

I will never pass up the opportunity to praise Randy Newman. Click the link.

Short Film (Animated)
“French Roast” Fabrice O. Joubert
“Granny O’Grimm’s Sleeping Beauty” Nicky Phelan and Darragh O’Connell
“The Lady and the Reaper (La Dama y la Muerte)” Javier Recio Gracia
“Logorama” Nicolas Schmerkin
“A Matter of Loaf and Death” Nick Park

Even Billy Crystal couldn't make me care about this category. I'm going to go with "A Matter of Loaf and Death" because I like puns.

Short Film (Live Action)
“The Door” — Juanita Wilson and James Flynn
“Instead of Abracadabra” — Patrik Eklund and Mathias Fjellström
“Kavi” — Gregg Helvey
“Miracle Fish” — Luke Doolan and Drew Bailey
“The New Tenants” — Joachim Back and Tivi Magnusson

Again I'm going with none. I can't believe that "Ataque de Pánico!" wasn't nominated.

Sound Editing
“Avatar” — Christopher Boyes and Gwendolyn Yates Whittle
“The Hurt Locker” — Paul N. J. Ottosson
“Inglourious Basterds” — Wylie Stateman
“Star Trek” — Mark Stoeckinger and Alan Rankin
“Up” — Michael Silvers and Tom Myers

I'ma give some love to "Star Trek." J.J. Abrams knows what he's doing when he creates expansive worlds (not quite on James Cameron's level, though) and Alan Rankin was a solid choice for giving Star Trek the very crisp audio that you don't even need Blu-Ray to be able to enjoy.

Sound Mixing
“Avatar” — Christopher Boyes, Gary Summers, Andy Nelson and Tony Johnson
“The Hurt Locker” — Paul N. J. Ottosson and Ray Beckett
“Inglourious Basterds” — Michael Minkler, Tony Lamberti and Mark Ulano
“Star Trek” — Anna Behlmer, Andy Nelson and Peter J. Devlin
“Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen” — Greg P. Russell, Gary Summers and Geoffrey Patterson

I'm actually glad "Transformers: Revenge of the What the Fuck I Took Too Much Acid" got nominated because it gave me a chance to make that joke. What a terrible, terrible movie. I wouldn't call it "sound mixing," because that implies there are still discernible parts. Everything about the editing, visually and audibly, of this movie is indicative of "blending." Because I have no stock in this category and I'm tired of saying the "A" word, I'm going with "The Hurt Locker." That shit hurt.

Visual Effects
“Avatar” — Joe Letteri, Stephen Rosenbaum, Richard Baneham and Andrew R. Jones
“District 9” — Dan Kaufman, Peter Muyzers, Robert Habros and Matt Aitken
“Star Trek” — Roger Guyett, Russell Earl, Paul Kavanagh and Burt Dalton

Two. Billion.

Okay kiddies. Those are the predictions. Please feel free to add your comments and your own predictions, just be nice because daddy is out of anti-depressants and using Wild Turkey to cope. And images of Katy Perry's cleavage. Those are reallllly helping. With what, I'm not sure, but I just sent them to Haiti.

Check back often to see if someone posted a reply to your reply - I'm considering liveblogging the Oscars so I'd appreciate your feedback there annnnnd until next time, don't think too hard, because your face will get stuck like that.

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